'Frankenstorm' Tracker: Day Three

Hurricane Sandy's exact path still uncertain.

Check Patch's Hurricane Sandy Section for the most recent information.

Consensus is building among forecasters that Sandy will make landfall early Tuesday as a strong tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane on the South or Central New Jersey coast.

But the storm's expected turn to the west has not occurred yet, making calculations about where its effects will be most severe still difficult to predict.

One thing seems certain though: This storm is potentially very dangerous.

In a news conference Saturday, Mayor Michael Bloomberg told the city that the surge from Sandy would likely be worse than Hurricane/Tropical Storm Irene.

The reason for this is partly due to the expected timing of the arrival of the storm during a full moon on Monday — a period when tides are normally at their highest.

That means a predicted surge of as much as 4 to 8 feet on Monday night to Tuesday morning would put Lower Manhattan — home to crucial electrical and steam systems — as well as other low-lying areas of the city at risk.

The first effects of the storm will begin to be felt Sunday night. Transit officials are still considering a shutdown in bus and subway service starting at 7 p.m.

No mandatory evacuations have been ordered. 65 shelters across the city opened at 9 a.m. For a map of locations, check out WNYC's website.

Julius Gordon October 28, 2012 at 04:04 PM
We live in Douglaston. Queens where the Cross Island and the LIE intersect, next to the Fairway Supermarket . My question is, Are we in a Flood zone A and in a mandatory evacuation area. where could we evacuate to, if required? The North Shore Long Island Jewish Hospital complex is the only thing that comes to mind.
Paul Leonard (Editor) October 28, 2012 at 05:21 PM
We've been asked by the Mayor's office to distribute this map: http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/downloads/pdf/zoneA_evac_centers_102612.pdf This has both where Zone A is located as well as the location of shelters throughout the city.North Shore LIJ is in Nassau so check the county's website for info on locations there


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